As South
Africans, we tend to think of the transformation argument as either about
diversity, or about economic emancipation, and to think of both as necessary
ends in themselves. Yet what we seldom consider, openly, is what the political
implications of both these broad transformation goals in South African society
would amount to in real terms.
The question of why black South Africans have steadily
continued to vote for the ANC in every election since 1994 in such a large
majority is deeply puzzling for many white and/or middle class South Africans.
The chattering middle classes can often be heard professing deep confusion over
why – despite the very obvious problems abounding in the ANC under the Zuma
administration – black South Africans continue to vote so convincingly for the
ANC.
As each election approaches, there is always some hope
that the ANC will finally get its comeuppance for the wayward and unrepentant
behaviour of its leadership. Yet repeatedly, instead of a large vote away from
the ANC, only slight, incremental aggregate declines occur.
Many reasons are offered for the overwhelming strength
of the ANC in the South African political arena. Some say that the ANC’s
history and legacy as a long-term liberation organisation inspires an
unconditional loyalty; it is regarded as “home” to an overwhelming majority.
Others attribute it to the historic conglomeration of liberation and worker
representation organisations such as the United Democratic Front (UDF) and
COSATU under the ANC umbrella early in the transition to democracy. In the crassest of
race-based reasoning, the ANC is simply viewed as a black party that represents
black interests in South Africa. More recently, many believe that new growth in
the ANC’s support base is attributed to the greed of the “wrong types of
people” who have infested the ANC for personal enrichment.
It is true that all these interpretations have merit,
although to varying extents, but they miss an essential and key reason that the
ANC’s popularity amongst black South Africans remains strong, and why
challenges to the ANC remain modest. In my view, the reason the ANC remains so
attractive whether it performs well or not in government, is because of the
lack of transformation in South African society and its political economy.
As South Africans, we tend to think of the
transformation argument as either about diversity (ie diversifying South
African organisations and institutions, and through that society), or about
economic emancipation (ie class transformation), and to think of both as
necessary ends in themselves. Yet what we seldom consider openly, is what the political implications of both these
broad transformation goals in South African society would amount to in real
terms.
It stands to reason that the more inclusive and
equitable a society South Africa becomes, the more black South Africans would
stand to gain increased levels of access and membership to different power
bases and clusters within broader South African society. Over and above diversification
and class transformation in society, access to multiple seats of power, in
meaningful numbers and proportions, would – in real terms – open up access to a
broader range of sites from which influence could be exercised. The poor
substantive quality of transformation in the majority of South African
organisations and institutions, effectively translates into a situation where
the only viable seat of significant power that black South Africans can gain
access to resides within the ANC.
If black South Africans had – over the past 21 years –
gained significantly increased access and membership to a broader, more diverse
set of power bases within society, then the transition to greater plurality
would be more of a reality within the South African political spectrum today.
The key power bases that remain weakly transformed in South Africa typically
lie outside of the state and military, both of which have undergone extensive
transformation by the ANC over the last 21 years, and are closely coupled with
the ruling party in many ways. These power bases typically reside in key extra-state
sectors, institutions and organisations in South Africa. In particular; the
private sector, political organisations, parastatals and academic institutions
are amongst the worst performing in respect of transformation.
The defensive posture that was adopted by these actors
towards transformation imperatives early on in the post-apartheid democratic
dispensation, has in fact worked against the evolution of a democratic South
Africa to a more pluralistic and diverse political sphere.
Twenty one years later, inequality in South African
society ranks amongst the highest in the world, despite its relative abundance
of raw materials, reliable institutions, financial power and a strong economic
base. South Africa has become a cautionary emerging market tale, alongside
Brazil, and public dissent towards lack of adequate socio-economic change has
grown amongst black South Africans, despite the widespread support for the ANC.
Historical loyalties aside, the key thing to
understand about what the ANC offers, however, is that it remains the only
viable option – in terms of its vast and far reaching power base within
government and the state – through which black South Africans can come together
and jointly influence the exercise of power within South African society. For
all its flaws and inadequacies the ANC remains the single most influential
political platform through which black South Africans can exercise real and
meaningful power; the power to change society. When black South Africans
converge upon ANC meetings and congregations, there is a palpable sense that
they can exercise great power through the political party they belong to or
support. There is little doubt, among participants, that they can accomplish
more by remaining within the ANC’s ambit than outside of it.
There is, in addition, a further irony/paradox to this
situation; the ANC itself, by virtue of its unquestionable and reliable support
base, has little motivation to oversee a more radical, faster transformation of
South African society. It only has to show vague progress towards real
socio-economic transformation in order to ensure that voters recognise its good
intent and remain committed to the party. Consequently, it has no real urgency
– except that which is motivated by its own sense of virtue and/or
responsibility – to fight for more radical change and/or pace of change in
South Africa. Slower progress towards a fully diversified society means that
the ANC has ever more time to consolidate its base as a behemoth in South
African political spectrum. It is only reasonable to expect that a successful
democratic transition would result in a more diverse set of alternatives for black
South Africans to exert political influence through.
A few key factors that hamper transformation efforts
warrant brief mention here. Constitutional transformation imperatives alone –
ie emphasising the ‘equal in law’ imperative, as above (or the same as) the
‘equal in society’ imperative – is unlikely to lead to a broader, more inclusive
political arena in South African society. There also is a clear need to rethink
the main mechanisms through which transformation has been initiated, enabled
and/or catalysed.
Black Economic Empowerment, for example, requires considerable reflection and reformulation. Instead of broad-scale transformation, it has resulted in the creation of a powerful black elite, but not a truly inclusive, broad-based middle class, or working class. The transformation of financial capital, and not productive capital in the South African economy, is in part responsible for this. While some “black diamonds” have become greatly enriched through partnering with white businesses or joining them (i.e. owning shares), the economy is still lacking in broad-scale participation by black entrepreneurs and industrialists in the productive economy.
Black Economic Empowerment, for example, requires considerable reflection and reformulation. Instead of broad-scale transformation, it has resulted in the creation of a powerful black elite, but not a truly inclusive, broad-based middle class, or working class. The transformation of financial capital, and not productive capital in the South African economy, is in part responsible for this. While some “black diamonds” have become greatly enriched through partnering with white businesses or joining them (i.e. owning shares), the economy is still lacking in broad-scale participation by black entrepreneurs and industrialists in the productive economy.
Whilst on the surface, the ANC gives the appearance
that is it always busy rethinking and reformulating the economic and
developmental strategies and plans of the state, in reality there has been a
rather consistent formulation and implementation of middle-of-the-road,
sometimes piecemeal designs. Very little significant changes in economic
policy, for example, have occurred between different ANC leadership cabinets.
The development plans that the ANC puts out publicly, are designed to give the
impression that it is inclusive and innovative. However, in reality, they do
not have to make substantive contributions to the South African political
economy in terms of innovation and diversification; they only have to ensure
that it remains stable.
Consequently, stable, incremental progress towards
transformation, is what the ANC’s contribution has amounted to in reality. Black South Africans have scarce alternatives
through which to pursue this transformation and so remain locked in within the
realm of the ANC's offerings. However, while the lack of political alternatives
has been a key feature, recently, alternatives such as the Economic Freedom
Fighters and ex-COSATU worker parties have emerged. Their more radical rhetoric
may prove appealing to some black voters, but as long as the ANC can play a
good game of political spin (i.e. capture the language black political
opposition is using, such as the language of “redistribution” and “economic
freedom”) it will no doubt remain more attractive due to its vast power base,
and remain its most readily preferred option.
It is not due to purely to loyalty, sentiment or race
identity that the ANC remains so powerful in the political spectrum, but
rather, its popularity is ensured by its centrality as the major political
voice for the black citizenry, and the fact that it is so strongly identified
with government, the state and the military. Until there is substantive change
in the broader South African socio-economy, it is unrealistic to expect that
black South Africans would diversify their political support and seek out
alternatives through which to influence the direction of the country. It’s that
simple.